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What is Donald Trump’s ‘Deal of the Century’?

In 2020, Trump released a 181-page peace plan for Israel-Palestine. The Palestinians rejected it within hours. Three years later, October 7 happened. Now Trump is back and proposing something even more radical. Here's the full story.

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In 2020, Trump released a 181-page peace plan for Israel-Palestine. The Palestinians rejected it within hours. Three years later, October 7 happened. Now Trump is back and proposing something even more radical. Here's the full story.

ByAllinAllSpacePublishedFebruary 24, 2019CategoryPolitics

In 2020, Trump released a 181-page peace plan for Israel-Palestine. The Palestinians rejected it within hours. Three years later, October 7 happened. Now Trump is back and proposing something even more radical. Here’s the full story.

Updated June 2026 · Originally published February 2019

In January 2020, Donald Trump’s administration released what it called the most detailed peace proposal ever put forward for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Led by Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, the plan — quickly dubbed the “Deal of the Century” — promised a Palestinian state, $50 billion in economic investment, and a new approach to one of the world’s most intractable disputes.

The Palestinians rejected it immediately. The Arab world largely dismissed it. And within three years, the region had descended into its worst violence since 1948. Today, with Trump back in the White House and proposing something even more radical — the complete redevelopment of Gaza into what he has called a “Riviera of the Middle East” — understanding what the Deal of the Century was, why it failed, and what has replaced it is essential context for anyone following Middle East politics.

“Jared Kushner’s ‘Deal of the Century’ was the most detailed peace proposal ever put to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The Palestinians rejected it within hours. Three years later, October 7 happened.”


What Was the Deal of the Century?

The plan was officially unveiled at the White House on January 28, 2020, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu present but no Palestinian representatives. It was a 181-page document — detailed, ambitious, and structurally one-sided in ways that made Palestinian acceptance almost impossible from the start.

Key points of the 2020 plan
Palestinian state — conditional. The plan offered a Palestinian state, but one that would be demilitarised, geographically fragmented, and dependent on Israeli security approval for its borders. Critics noted it bore little resemblance to what Palestinians or international law considered a viable state.
Jerusalem as Israel’s undivided capital. The plan accepted Israel’s annexation of East Jerusalem — a position in direct contradiction to UN Security Council resolutions and the longstanding international consensus that East Jerusalem’s status must be negotiated.
Settlements stay. All Israeli settlements in the West Bank — then housing over 450,000 Israeli settlers — would be incorporated into Israeli territory. Palestinians would receive alternative land elsewhere, including some territory in the Negev desert adjacent to Gaza.
Gaza tripled in size. The plan proposed that Palestinian territory in Gaza be tripled — from 365 square kilometres to approximately 1,085 — through Egyptian Sinai land transfers. A 10-kilometre tunnel would connect Gaza to the West Bank, and a new international airport and seaport would be built.
$50 billion investment package. The economic component — released six months earlier as the “Peace to Prosperity” plan — promised $50 billion in investment over ten years to Palestinian territories, Jordan, Egypt, and Lebanon, conditional on the peace deal being accepted.
Four-year freeze on settlement expansion. Israel agreed to a four-year moratorium on new settlement construction to allow peace negotiations to proceed — a condition that was subsequently not enforced.

Why It Was Rejected

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas rejected the plan before it was formally released, calling it a “slap of the century” and declaring that the Palestinian leadership would not accept it under any circumstances. The Arab League, while less absolute in its language, also declined to endorse it. The core objections were consistent and predictable:

  • The proposed Palestinian state was non-contiguous, demilitarised, and dependent on Israeli security cooperation — not a sovereign state in any meaningful sense
  • Jerusalem’s status was decided unilaterally in Israel’s favour, removing the city from negotiation
  • The right of return for Palestinian refugees — a foundational Palestinian demand — was essentially eliminated
  • The Palestinian Authority was not involved in drafting the plan and felt it was designed with Israeli interests as the primary consideration
  • Hamas, which controlled Gaza, was not part of the process at all

The deal’s architects argued that previous approaches — based on the 1967 borders and equal negotiations — had failed repeatedly and that a new framework was needed. Critics argued the plan simply formalised Israeli control over Palestinian territory while offering economic incentives as compensation for political rights.

“Every previous peace plan started from the 1967 borders. Trump’s plan started from the 2020 reality — settlements included — and asked Palestinians to accept it. They didn’t.”


What Happened Next — The Timeline

Jan 2020
Deal of the Century unveiled at the White House. Palestinians reject immediately. Netanyahu attends — no Palestinian representative present. Israel announces plans to annex parts of the West Bank under the deal’s framework.
Aug–Sep 2020
The Abraham Accords — UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan normalise relations with Israel. Brokered by Kushner, explicitly connected to the Deal of the Century framework. Israel agrees to suspend (not cancel) West Bank annexation. The most significant diplomatic achievement of the Trump Middle East approach.
Jan 2021
Biden administration takes office. Deal of the Century formally shelved. Biden commits to a two-state solution based on pre-1967 borders. Abraham Accords maintained. Saudi normalisation discussions begin.
Oct 7, 2023
Hamas launches the largest attack on Israeli civilians since the founding of the state — 1,200 killed, 251 taken hostage. Israel launches military campaign in Gaza. Any prospect of near-term peace negotiations collapses. Saudi normalisation — which was imminent — is suspended.
Jan 2025
Trump returns to the White House. Proposes that Egypt and Jordan take in Palestinian refugees from Gaza. Then proposes the “Gaza Riviera” — a complete redevelopment of Gaza as a tourist and commercial destination, with Palestinians resettled in Arab countries. More controversial than the original Deal of the Century. Egypt, Jordan, and Arab League reject it entirely.
2026
Ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas continue. Hostages remain in Gaza. Gaza reconstruction discussions ongoing but political framework unresolved. Saudi normalisation remains conditioned on a credible path to Palestinian statehood — which does not currently exist.

Trump’s 2025 Gaza Proposal — Even More Controversial

The Gaza Riviera — Trump’s 2025 Proposal

When Trump returned to the White House in January 2025, he did not revive the Deal of the Century. He proposed something significantly more radical: the complete evacuation of Gaza’s 2.3 million Palestinian residents — to Egypt, Jordan, and other Arab countries — and the redevelopment of Gaza into what he described as a “Riviera of the Middle East.”

The proposal drew immediate and near-universal rejection. Egypt flatly refused — accepting millions of Palestinian refugees would destabilise Egypt’s own politics and effectively end any Palestinian national aspiration. Jordan similarly refused. The Arab League called the proposal a violation of Palestinian rights and international law. Even some of Israel’s closest allies expressed discomfort with the optics.

The proposal highlighted a fundamental tension in Trump’s approach to the Middle East: his willingness to think outside the conventional diplomatic framework sometimes produces genuine breakthroughs (Abraham Accords) and sometimes produces proposals that go further than any major party — including Israel’s government — is willing to support.

As of mid-2026, the Gaza Riviera proposal has not advanced. Ceasefire negotiations continue. The question of Gaza’s post-war governance and political status remains entirely unresolved.


What the Deal of the Century Got Right — and Wrong

In hindsight, the Deal of the Century’s most significant achievement was not the peace plan itself — which was rejected immediately — but the Abraham Accords that emerged from the same diplomatic process. Normalising Israel’s relations with four Arab states was a genuine diplomatic breakthrough, even if it did not resolve the Palestinian question. It demonstrated that Arab-Israeli normalisation was achievable independently of Palestinian consent — a precedent that continues to shape regional diplomacy.

What the plan got wrong was its assumption that Palestinian political rights could be exchanged for economic investment. The $50 billion investment package was designed to make Palestinian acceptance of reduced sovereignty economically attractive. But Palestinians consistently chose national aspiration over economic incentive — as they did in Camp David 2000, and as they did in 2020. Economic development without political rights is not a peace deal. It is a management strategy for occupation.

The conflict’s core issues — borders, settlements, Jerusalem, refugees — remain exactly as they were before the Deal of the Century, as they were before Oslo, as they have been since 1948. Every proposal that has failed to address all four simultaneously has ultimately failed. The Deal of the Century is now another entry on that list — more detailed than most, more explicitly one-sided than most, and ultimately no more successful than its predecessors.

Sources include the US State Department, the Jerusalem Post, Al Jazeera, Reuters, and BBC reporting on the Deal of the Century and subsequent developments. Internal link to our full analysis of the Israel-Palestine conflict.

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